https://thepicklog.com/ We test what's being sold to traders. Rules frozen before the fact, graded forward against a control, verdicts published either way — starting with our own strategy, which failed. en-us Thu, 06 Aug 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://thepicklog.com/about.html https://thepicklog.com/about.html Wed, 05 Aug 2026 12:00:00 GMT The operator, the standard the site applies (define the rule before the outcome is known, test forward, compare to a pre-specified benchmark, publish either way), and why the first strategy tested was his own — which failed. https://thepicklog.com/late-cohorts.html https://thepicklog.com/late-cohorts.html Tue, 04 Aug 2026 12:00:00 GMT The record rests on picks being written down before the market opens. On seven sessions our scheduler drifted past the bell and logged anyway — and an outside reader found it in our public CSV before we did. 128 picks excluded, headline restated −2.68% → −3.40%, and a hard pre-open gate so it cannot recur. https://thepicklog.com/split-adjustment-trap.html https://thepicklog.com/split-adjustment-trap.html Fri, 31 Jul 2026 12:00:00 GMT Price history is silently rewritten every time a company splits. Mix a stored price with a re-downloaded one and you invent returns that never happened — and in cheap stocks the error is always in your favour. We found it in our own code, where it had turned a −2.9% baseline into +8.0%. Six checks that catch it. https://thepicklog.com/experiment-03.html https://thepicklog.com/experiment-03.html Fri, 31 Jul 2026 12:00:00 GMT The most widely taught indicator signal in retail trading, frozen as an exact rule with a day-matched control before any of the data it will be judged on exists. Registered prior: no edge — roughly 1 in 6 that it clears. https://thepicklog.com/experiment-02.html https://thepicklog.com/experiment-02.html Wed, 29 Jul 2026 12:00:00 GMT One of the most published retail setups of the last twenty years, almost always sold on its win rate. We're testing whether a high win rate survives contact with expectancy — on liquid names, where costs can't be blamed for the answer. First verdict expected ~September 2026. https://thepicklog.com/experiment-01.html https://thepicklog.com/experiment-01.html Wed, 29 Jul 2026 12:00:00 GMT We pre-registered the edge we believed in and ran it forward for seven weeks. It failed — significantly, in the opposite direction to our prediction. n=309, −3.0pp versus baseline, 95% CI [−4.4, −1.5]. At 30 trades it looked like it worked; that early read was noise.